For those of you not up to speed, here's the deal.
pasword fof siteAlthough as of this writing only 97% of the precincts have reported, Kerry has won it. That's a nice streak, considering how much his campaign has had to come back from the dead. Dean came in a fairly distant second, Clark came in after him with an equally large gap. Edwards was right on his heels. Lieberman was under 10% as I predicted. The other candidates don't matter.
Nobody will drop out (as I also predicted), but it's likely that two or three of them will drop out after the next round, which holds a lot more delegates. I think that Kerry has enough momentum to actually win several states in the next one, and probably rob the others of states they're hoping to win. Clark may give him more of a fight, but I think Kerry will pull it off.
I enjoyed watching Dean's speech. He didn't roll up his sleeves this time, and was very, very quiet. If he ever does win a state, he'll probably not even show up, for fear of messing things up again. I think he's preparing his followers for when he loses the nomination and has to drop out. If you look and listen very closely, the hints are there. He's too proud to drop out after the 3rd, but he could be gone anytime after that. It's still too early to tell.
My gut says that Kerry will win the nomination easily now. He's definitely on a roll, and will be very hard to stop. So far he's gotten a lot of very important endorsements. The people that matter are helping Kerry. Gore and company have been more of a curse than a blessing for Dean. As much as he puts himself forward as anti-insider, he's gotten a lot of support from those people. Kerry doesn't have that kind of hypocrisy, and the support he has gotten has been very helpful.
Hopefully now Kerry can clinch it and unite the party. The quicker the better.
Yay for Massachusetts (again)!
Posted by mrxak at January 28, 2004 12:00 AM